Enter two prices on opposite outcomes at two different books. This tells you whether a guaranteed-profit arbitrage exists, the exact way to split your stake, and the profit you lock in. American or decimal odds, live as you type.
A two-outcome arbitrage exists when the two prices together imply a combined probability below 100 percent. The bookmakers, between them, are pricing the whole event at less than certainty, so a correctly split stake wins the same amount no matter which side hits.
# 1. Convert each price to decimal odds american +a -> dec = 1 + a/100 american -a -> dec = 1 + 100/a # 2. Sum the implied probabilities total_implied = (1 / dec_a) + (1 / dec_b) # 3. Arb exists only if total_implied < 1 profit_margin = (1 / total_implied) - 1 # e.g. 0.05 = 5% # 4. Split a total stake S so both outcomes return the same stake_a = S * (1 / dec_a) / total_implied stake_b = S * (1 / dec_b) / total_implied each_outcome_returns = S / total_implied guaranteed_profit = S / total_implied - S
total_implied is 1 or greater, there is no arb. The calculator says so and shows how far underwater the pair is.stake_a * dec_a equal to stake_b * dec_b, so your payout is identical either way."Guaranteed" is a math statement, not a promise about the real world. Books limit, restrict, or close accounts that arb, and they can void a bet on a palpable error or a market it should not have offered.
Prices move. The line you saw a moment ago may be gone before your second bet is placed, which can leave you with only one side and real exposure. Sizing limits, minimum bets, rounding, and any bet that fails to place all eat into or erase the margin this page computes.
Treat the output as the theoretical ceiling for an idealized, instantaneous, unrestricted pair of bets, and nothing more.