NBA Line Shopping Opportunities for 2026-05-16

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Top 20 NBA player props by line dispersion on 2026-05-16. Where books disagree, line shopping pays.

Where the books disagree most today

The table below ranks NBA player props on 2026-05-16 by line dispersion (the gap between the lowest and highest line offered by any book). Wider gaps = more line-shopping value, more potential +EV. Computed from NBA prop closing lines pulled from 20 active sources.

PlayerMarketSourcesLine rangeAvgOver price range
Victor Wembanyamaplayer points140.0 - 44.524.2-5000 to 2339
Anthony Edwardsplayer points140.0 - 44.523.4-4500 to 2603
Jaden McDanielsplayer points alt75.0 - 40.019.9-8000 to 3500
Victor Wembanyamaplayer points alt715.0 - 50.029.7-4500 to 3500
Anthony Edwardsplayer points alt715.0 - 50.030.3-4000 to 3500
Stephon Castleplayer points140.0 - 34.515.5-1400 to 1539
Totaltotals10218.0 - 250.5219.4-125 to -102
De'Aaron Foxplayer points alt78.0 - 40.020.2-3900 to 4000
Julius Randleplayer points140.0 - 31.014.9-1200 to 1800
Stephon Castleplayer points alt75.0 - 35.020.0-10000 to 3000
Ayo Dosunmuplayer points alt75.0 - 35.016.8-9000 to 3500
De'Aaron Foxplayer points140.0 - 29.515.6-10000 to 1438
Jaden McDanielsplayer points140.0 - 29.514.6-1200 to 2000
Minnesota Timberwolvesspreads104.5 - 32.55.5-125 to 102
San Antonio Spursspreads10-32.5 - -4.5-5.5-125 to 102
Julius Randleplayer points alt78.0 - 35.019.0-2700 to 3500
Stephon Castleplayer pts asts1021.5 - 48.523.9-145 to 111
Stephon Castleplayer pts rebs asts1226.5 - 53.528.9-135 to 108
Stephon Castleplayer pts rebs1020.5 - 46.522.2-139 to 103
Naz Reidplayer points alt75.0 - 30.016.0-4500 to 3000

Get +EV opportunities programmatically

# Pre-computed +EV bets (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/basketball_nba/ev?min_edge=0.02&date=2026-05-16" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"

# Pre-computed cross-book arbitrage (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/basketball_nba/arbitrage?min_profit=0.005&date=2026-05-16" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"
For information only. Sports betting carries risk. Past dispersion doesn't guarantee future +EV.

Run this analysis yourself, free

Every number in this post came from the ParlayAPI live feed. Free tier: 1,000 requests/month, no credit card.

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