MLB Line Shopping Opportunities for 2026-08-09

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Top 20 MLB player props by line dispersion on 2026-08-09. Where books disagree, line shopping pays.

Where the books disagree most today

The table below ranks MLB player props on 2026-08-09 by line dispersion (the gap between the lowest and highest line offered by any book). Wider gaps = more line-shopping value, more potential +EV. Computed from MLB prop closing lines pulled from 20 active sources.

PlayerMarketSourcesLine rangeAvgOver price range
Totaltotals101.5 - 11.57.0-434 to 370
Josh Naylorplayer total bases100.5 - 10.53.5-185 to 325
Jake McCarthyplayer hits runs rbis31.5 - 9.56.3-157 to 240
Jake McCarthyplayer total bases31.5 - 9.55.5-105 to 285
Yoshinobu Yamamotoplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.4-3500 to 1480
Griffin Jaxplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.4-3000 to 1480
George Kirbyplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.05.9-2000 to 1400
Brandon Pfaadtplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.05.5-400 to 2500
Jac Caglianoneplayer total bases41.5 - 8.54.5115 to 235
Tampa Bay Raysspreads10-3.5 - 3.0-0.4-8000 to 1060
Seattle Marinersspreads10-3.0 - 3.50.4-5000 to 1600
Lars Nootbaarplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.1190 to 3500
Hunter Feducciaplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0190 to 3500
Richie Palaciosplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0230 to 3500
Colt Emersonplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0260 to 3500
Liam Hicksplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.1150 to 3300
Nolan Arenadoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.1200 to 3300
Brendan Donovanplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0185 to 3000
Tim Tawaplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0206 to 3000
Geraldo Perdomoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.1155 to 2800

Get +EV opportunities programmatically

# Pre-computed +EV bets (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/ev?min_edge=0.02&date=2026-08-09" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"

# Pre-computed cross-book arbitrage (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/arbitrage?min_profit=0.005&date=2026-08-09" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"
For information only. Sports betting carries risk. Past dispersion doesn't guarantee future +EV.

Run this analysis yourself, free

Every number in this post came from the ParlayAPI live feed. Free tier: 1,000 requests/month, no credit card.

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