MLB Line Shopping Opportunities for 2026-08-07

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Top 20 MLB player props by line dispersion on 2026-08-07. Where books disagree, line shopping pays.

Where the books disagree most today

The table below ranks MLB player props on 2026-08-07 by line dispersion (the gap between the lowest and highest line offered by any book). Wider gaps = more line-shopping value, more potential +EV. Computed from MLB prop closing lines pulled from 20 active sources.

PlayerMarketSourcesLine rangeAvgOver price range
Payton Tolleplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 11.06.9-3000 to 1720
San Diego Padresspreads10-4.5 - 3.0-2.1-7000 to 360
Arizona Diamondbacksspreads10-3.0 - 4.52.1-715 to 1280
Parker Messickplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.5-4000 to 1240
Tyler Mahleplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.5-3500 to 1680
Zack Wheelerplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.6-3700 to 1040
Shane Drohanplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.4-3000 to 1640
Max Friedplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.4-2200 to 1500
Jack Perkinsplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.06.0-1450 to 1600
Jose Sorianoplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.8-1200 to 1720
Tyler Phillipsplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.7-590 to 2200
Zebby Matthewsplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.8-950 to 1720
Zach Thorntonplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.7-800 to 1800
George Klassenplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.7-800 to 1700
Kohl Drakeplayer hits allowed90.5 - 7.54.5-179 to 980
Jake Cronenworthplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0170 to 3500
Alika Williamsplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.04.2180 to 3500
Andres Gimenezplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.04.1210 to 3500
Freddy Ferminplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.1150 to 3300
Ryan Waldschmidtplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0200 to 3300

Get +EV opportunities programmatically

# Pre-computed +EV bets (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/ev?min_edge=0.02&date=2026-08-07" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"

# Pre-computed cross-book arbitrage (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/arbitrage?min_profit=0.005&date=2026-08-07" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"
For information only. Sports betting carries risk. Past dispersion doesn't guarantee future +EV.

Run this analysis yourself, free

Every number in this post came from the ParlayAPI live feed. Free tier: 1,000 requests/month, no credit card.

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