MLB Line Shopping Opportunities for 2026-05-21

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Top 20 MLB player props by line dispersion on 2026-05-21. Where books disagree, line shopping pays.

Where the books disagree most today

The table below ranks MLB player props on 2026-05-21 by line dispersion (the gap between the lowest and highest line offered by any book). Wider gaps = more line-shopping value, more potential +EV. Computed from MLB prop closing lines pulled from 20 active sources.

PlayerMarketSourcesLine rangeAvgOver price range
Shohei Ohtaniplayer strikeouts80.5 - 8.56.9-280 to 258
Shohei Ohtaniplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.5-10000 to 374
Aaron Civaleplayer strikeouts alt43.0 - 10.05.7-950 to 2500
Jack Kochanowiczplayer strikeouts alt44.0 - 10.06.0-159 to 2500
Ramon Laureanoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0253 to 2800
Jeff McNeilplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.03.5166 to 2500
Manny Machadoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.9185 to 2500
Randy Vasquezplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 9.05.3-590 to 1700
Tyler Soderstromplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.03.8-115 to 2000
Mookie Bettsplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.9115 to 2200
Josh Loweplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.04.5177 to 2200
Jo Adellplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.03.9110 to 2000
Zach Netoplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.05.3120 to 1800
Brent Rookerplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.04.1120 to 1800
Nick Kurtzplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.04.9105 to 1500
Darell Hernaizplayer total bases alt32.0 - 7.03.3175 to 3000
Xander Bogaertsplayer total bases alt42.0 - 7.03.7190 to 2500
Nick Castellanosplayer total bases alt42.0 - 7.03.9195 to 2500
Zack Gelofplayer total bases alt32.0 - 7.04.2130 to 2200
Miguel Andujarplayer total bases alt42.0 - 7.03.9150 to 2200

Get +EV opportunities programmatically

# Pre-computed +EV bets (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/ev?min_edge=0.02&date=2026-05-21" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"

# Pre-computed cross-book arbitrage (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/arbitrage?min_profit=0.005&date=2026-05-21" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"
For information only. Sports betting carries risk. Past dispersion doesn't guarantee future +EV.

Run this analysis yourself, free

Every number in this post came from the ParlayAPI live feed. Free tier: 1,000 requests/month, no credit card.

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