MLB Line Shopping Opportunities for 2026-05-12

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Top 20 MLB player props by line dispersion on 2026-05-12. Where books disagree, line shopping pays.

Where the books disagree most today

The table below ranks MLB player props on 2026-05-12 by line dispersion (the gap between the lowest and highest line offered by any book). Wider gaps = more line-shopping value, more potential +EV. Computed from MLB prop closing lines pulled from 20 active sources.

PlayerMarketSourcesLine rangeAvgOver price range
George Kirbyplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.4-3000 to 1460
Nathan Eovaldiplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.1-2200 to 1820
Trevor McDonaldplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.05.4-650 to 2200
Michael Sorokaplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.4-1400 to 1300
Peter Lambertplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 10.06.1-960 to 1700
Ildemaro Vargasplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.9145 to 3500
Gabriel Morenoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.7145 to 2800
Nolan Arenadoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.6160 to 2800
Brice Matthewsplayer total bases alt32.0 - 8.03.6183 to 2800
Alex Freelandplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.9214 to 2800
Jose Altuveplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.6110 to 2500
Isaac Paredesplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.7135 to 2500
Luke Raleyplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.9150 to 2500
Cam Smithplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0150 to 2500
Lourdes Gurrielplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.5150 to 2500
Geraldo Perdomoplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.6150 to 2500
Roki Sasakiplayer strikeouts alt53.0 - 9.05.5-650 to 1700
Zach Coleplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.03.5165 to 2500
Danny Jansenplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.0230 to 2500
Ketel Marteplayer total bases alt42.0 - 8.04.4-105 to 2000

Get +EV opportunities programmatically

# Pre-computed +EV bets (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/ev?min_edge=0.02&date=2026-05-12" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"

# Pre-computed cross-book arbitrage (Pro tier)
curl "https://parlay-api.com/v1/sports/baseball_mlb/arbitrage?min_profit=0.005&date=2026-05-12" \
  -H "X-API-Key: YOUR_KEY"
For information only. Sports betting carries risk. Past dispersion doesn't guarantee future +EV.

Run this analysis yourself, free

Every number in this post came from the ParlayAPI live feed. Free tier: 1,000 requests/month, no credit card.

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